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The Future of AI: Why We're Still Underhyping the Next Big Thing
The future of AI is Physical... That is what Robert Scoble thinks
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The Future of AI: Why We're Still Underhyping the Next Big Thing 🚀
Alright, let’s cut through the noise. Everyone’s talking about AI like it’s some sci-fi movie, but here’s the real deal: we’re not hyping it enough. Yep, you heard that right. Most people still haven’t scratched the surface of what AI can do, and the next few years are about to get wild-think “Black Mirror,” but hopefully with fewer evil robots and more helpful gadgets1.
AI Is Everywhere-But Most Folks Haven’t Noticed Yet
Let’s be honest: unless you’re in Silicon Valley or glued to tech podcasts, AI probably feels like something for “other people.” Sure, you’ve heard of ChatGPT, but are you using it every day? Probably not. Turns out, most Americans are either a little freaked out by AI or just ignoring it1. But here’s a secret: this is exactly how every big tech shift starts.
Remember when social media was “just for kids”? Now your grandma’s on Facebook. The same thing is about to happen with AI, but way faster.
Hot AI Trends & Products: What’s Actually Cool?
Let’s talk about what’s popping right now (and what’s about to blow up):
Smart Glasses & Mixed Reality: Google, Apple, and others are dropping glasses that put a computer right on your face. Imagine seeing your calendar, translating languages, or even getting directions-all floating in front of your eyes. The Apple Vision Pro? It’s like going to a Metallica concert in your living room, but better1.
AI in Everyday Stuff: Your toaster, your lights, even your oven-AI is sneaking into everything. There’s an oven that knows if you put in toast or salmon and cooks it perfectly. There’s a robot vacuum (like Madic) that maps your house in 3D and cleans without eating your socks. These aren’t just gadgets; they’re game-changers1.
Virtual Beings & Digital Helpers: Soon, you might have a virtual assistant that looks and talks like a real person, hanging out on your couch. Tools like “VI” on Mac can run your computer for you, automate boring tasks, and even help you be more creative1.
Business Ideas: Where’s the Money? 💸
If you’re an entrepreneur or just want to get ahead, here’s where to look:
Mixed Reality for Work: Factories and hospitals are already using XR (extended reality) glasses to help workers see instructions, leave video notes, or even overlay medical scans on patients during surgery. This isn’t science fiction-it’s happening now1.
AI for Doctors and Offices: AI is writing up insurance notes, listening in on doctor visits, and handling paperwork. If you can build tools that save people time, you’re in business.
Autonomous Everything: From self-driving cars (hello, Tesla and Waymo) to robots that clean your house, the future is about machines that do the work for you. And trust us, once people try it, they’re hooked1.
What’s Next? The Wild Stuff 🤖
Neuralink and Brain-Computer Interfaces: Elon Musk is already putting chips in people’s heads to help them control computers with their thoughts. Right now, it’s for people with serious medical needs, but give it a few years, and who knows? Maybe you’ll be posting memes with your mind1.
AI That Thinks for Itself (AGI): We’re heading toward a world where AI can think and act on its own. That’s called AGI (Artificial General Intelligence), and it’s a big deal. Some people are scared, but most experts say we’ll figure it out before things get too “Black Mirror.” Stay optimistic, but keep your eyes open.
Why You Should Care (Even If You Hate Change)
Look, nobody likes change. New gadgets can be annoying-until you try them and realize they make life easier. That’s how progress works. Whether it’s self-driving cars, smart glasses, or AI-powered ovens, the future is coming fast, and it’s going to make life a lot more interesting1.
Quick Takeaways:
AI is about to be everywhere, not just in tech circles.
Mixed reality glasses and smart home gadgets are the next big thing.
Business opportunities are exploding in healthcare, robotics, and automation.
The future? Think virtual assistants, brain-computer links, and AI that can actually think.
So, are we overhyping AI? Not even close. The real revolution is just getting started. Buckle up-it’s going to be a wild ride! 🚗💡🤖
“People resist change… but then they try it and it’s like, oh, it actually made my life better. That’s cool. I’m going to tell everybody about it.
Robert Scoble on AI + Future Tech
Watch the interview these notes are based off of here
External Factors Influencing the AI Business Landscape
Economic Conditions:
AI is shaking up market structures by lowering entry barriers in some industries while boosting scale economies in others. This means big companies with deep pockets can invest more in AI, leading to greater market concentration in sectors where AI really ramps up productivity2. At the same time, the AI industry is heavily dependent on resources like computing power, specialized chips, and massive data centers-assets mostly controlled by tech giants. This resource dependence creates significant barriers for startups and smaller players, though cloud computing and open-source tools are helping level the playing field a bit5.
Regulatory Environment:
AI regulation is a hot topic worldwide. For example, California’s SB 1047 is set to regulate only large and powerful AI models, focusing on testing, safety, and compliance, with penalties for non-compliance. This approach differs from Canada and Europe, where regulations are broader and more qualitative. International legal bodies are also weighing in, pushing for policies that prioritize safety, fairness, and transparency in AI development3.
Consumer Behavior:
AI is changing how people shop, travel, and manage finances. Generative AI is driving huge spikes in web traffic to retailers, with a 1,200% increase in traffic over seven months. While consumers are using AI more for research and recommendations, they’re still a bit hesitant to buy directly through AI-powered chatbots-but that gap is closing fast. Most users say AI makes their experience better, especially for bigger or more complex purchases11. In general, people are still getting used to AI, with many Americans either wary or slow to adopt, but usage is rising as the tech proves its value14.
Competitive Conditions:
The AI market is dominated by a few large firms, especially at the infrastructure and development layers. These incumbents control critical inputs like data and compute power, making it tough for new entrants. However, partnerships, cloud services, and open-source projects are helping smaller companies get a foot in the door. Still, the landscape is competitive, with algorithmic pricing and data control shaping the rules of the game5.
Business Metrics
Market Growth: The generative AI market is expected to skyrocket from $40 billion in 2022 to $1.3 trillion by 2032, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 42%7.
Revenue Impact: Generative AI could add about $280 billion in new software revenue, especially through specialized assistants, infrastructure products, and coding copilots7.
Sales & Marketing: The AI for sales and marketing market is projected to grow from $57.99 billion in 2025 to $240.58 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 32.9%9.
Company Performance Example: C3.ai reported $366.9 million in revenue, with a gross margin of 60%, but negative operating (-87%) and net margins (-77%), showing the high costs and investments required in the sector8.
Adoption Rates: Use of generative AI in business jumped from 33% in 2023 to 71% in 2024, with marketing and sales leading the way at 42% adoption10.
Significant Trends
Mainstreaming of AI: More businesses and consumers are using AI daily, especially for research, recommendations, and automating routine tasks1011.
Shift in Consumer Patterns: AI-powered chatbots and recommendation engines are driving higher engagement and more personalized experiences, with consumers increasingly comfortable using AI for larger purchases11.
Job Evolution: Rather than replacing jobs outright, AI is augmenting roles and boosting productivity. About 41% of companies report that job roles are evolving due to AI12.
Market Consolidation: The industry is seeing increasing concentration among big players, but cloud and open-source tools are enabling more startups to compete25.
Mixed Reality and Wearables: Devices like smart glasses and XR headsets are moving from novelty to practical business tools, especially in industries like healthcare and manufacturing1.
Business Initiatives
Investing in Mixed Reality: Companies are rolling out XR glasses and smart devices that overlay digital information onto the real world, with adoption starting in business settings like factories and hospitals1.
AI-Driven Automation: Businesses are using AI to automate sales, marketing, and administrative tasks, freeing up employees for higher-value work910.
Consumer-Facing AI Products: The push for smarter home gadgets and virtual assistants is ongoing, with companies investing in AI-powered ovens, robot vacuums, and personalized shopping tools1.
Partnerships and Ecosystem Building: To overcome resource barriers, companies are forming partnerships and leveraging cloud services to access the compute and data needed for AI development5.
Regulatory Compliance: Firms are preparing for new regulations by investing in safety, transparency, and compliance measures, especially for large-scale AI models3.
Forward-Looking Statements
Market Projections: Generative AI is forecasted to reach $1.3 trillion by 2032, impacting up to 10% of total IT and digital ad spending7.
Business Goals: Companies aim to further integrate AI into sales, marketing, and customer service, with a focus on improving personalization, efficiency, and ROI9.
Leadership Vision: Industry leaders expect AI adoption to accelerate, with more mainstream consumer use and significant disruption across sectors. There’s optimism about navigating the risks of AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) before it becomes problematic1.
Ongoing Innovation: The next wave includes more advanced wearables, autonomous devices, and even brain-computer interfaces, with companies betting on these technologies to drive future growth1.
Executive Summary
AI is transforming the business world at breakneck speed, but most people still haven’t realized just how big the changes will be. Economic and competitive forces favor big players, but new tools and partnerships are opening doors for startups. Regulation is tightening, especially for large-scale AI, while consumer behavior is shifting toward more AI-driven experiences-especially in shopping and daily life. The numbers are staggering: the generative AI market could hit $1.3 trillion by 2032, with sales and marketing AI alone topping $240 billion by 2030. Businesses are investing in automation, mixed reality, and smarter products, while preparing for a future where AI is everywhere-from your kitchen to your car to your workplace. The message from industry insiders? We’re still underestimating AI’s impact, and the real revolution is just getting started.
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